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The Cost-Effectiveness of Crime Prevention Strategies

The following is a summary of "Diverting Children from a Life of Crime: Measuring Costs and Benefits," written by Peter W. Greenwood, Karyn E. Model, C. Peter Rydell, and James Chiesa, and published in 1996 by the RAND Corporation.

The primary purpose of the study was to determine the benefits of programs that divert youths who have not yet committed crimes from doing so, and at what cost. The study compares the crime reduction estimates of four intervention programs to the California three-strikes program, which is believed to effect a 21 percent reduction in crime worth $5.5 billion a year.

Measuring Costs and Benefits

Four different approaches to intervening early in the lives of potentially at-risk children were considered:

  • Home visits by child-care professionals beginning before birth and extending through the first two years of childhood, followed by four years of day care.
  • Training for parents and therapy for families with young children who have shown aggressive behavior in school.
  • Four years of cash and other incentives to induce disadvantaged high school students to graduate.
  • Monitoring and supervising high-school-age youths who have already exhibited delinquent behavior.

An estimate of the costs and benefits of these approaches suggests that three of the approaches compare favorably with California's three strikes law in terms of serious crime averted per dollar expended. The cost of preventing serious crimes with a well-designed graduation incentive program is estimated to be approximately $4,000 per crime. The effects of such a program will be felt within a short period of time because the targeted youth are close to their most crime-prone years. Graduation incentive programs could reduce crime by at least 15 percent.

Parent-training intervention could be relatively cost-effective over the long run at a cost of approximately $6,500 per serious felony prevented. The crime prevention effect of this type of intervention usually does not show any significant consequences for at least 10 years because participating youths are usually in the seven-to-ten year age range. Convincing parents of high-risk youth to enroll in such a program is often difficult.

Delinquent supervision programs cost nearly $14,000 per serious crime prevented. The impact of such programs is almost immediate because the intervention comes just prior to the peak age of criminal behavior - 16 to 20 years of age.

Early home visit and day care intervention is not as cost effective because of an almost 15-year delay between when the intervention is applied and when it begins affecting serious street crimes. The cost per crime prevented is estimated to be $29,400 per child over a period of 5 years. However, early childhood intervention has been shown to reduce rates of child abuse by about 50 percent.

Based on current best estimates of program costs and benefits, investments in some interventions for high-risk youth may be several times more cost-effective in reducing serious crime than long mandatory sentences for repeat offenders. Such cost-effective programs could reduce the financial burden of prisons and divert youth from a life of crime.

This full text of this study is available online at http://www.rand.org/publications/MR/MR699/#types


This summary is provided by the Texas Youth Commission. For more information about programs and research relating to children, youth, and family issues, contact us by e-mail at prevention@tyc.state.tx.us or by telephone at (512) 424-6336.


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4900 N. Lamar Blvd. · Austin, TX 78751
P.O. Box 4260 · Austin, TX 78765
(512) 424-6130

Date Developed: May 4, 2000 |
Last Updated: July 9, 2004

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